Chief executive’s report
Overview As a consequence group operating profit was 25% lower than in 2008 and headline earnings per share from continuing operations, which was impacted by higher finance costs and financial instrument adjustments due to the stronger rand, declined by 43%. However, intense focus on cash flow and working capital management resulted in cash generated from operations increasing by 20% and ensured that we reduced debt levels and strengthened the group balance sheet. Decisive action was taken to realign our cost base with lower activity levels. While this unfortunately led to a number of retrenchments, particularly in our international operations, the actions taken will yield significant annualised cost savings going forward. We also focused on entrenching our positions of market leadership in many of our businesses through the downturn to ensure that we are well placed for long-term success as the global economy recovers. Operational review We have nonetheless witnessed continued strong demand in mining from the coal and iron ore sectors. In Mozambique we were awarded a significant order for the supply of mining equipment for the Moatize coal project by the Brazilian mining company Vale which will start delivering in 2010. Commodities such as diamonds and copper were badly impacted in the earlier part of our financial year but now appear to be exiting the doldrums and the prices of these commodities have shown some recovery in recent times. The constraints encountered in South Africa in 2008 in respect of electric power capacity and the related outages were alleviated somewhat in 2009 mainly as result of the reduction in electricity demand from the mining and manufacturing sectors. We believe this respite to be temporary and forecast a recurrence of shortages once the South African real economy recovers. Equipment SA carried higher levels of inventory both for the
execution of their order book as well as a deliberate build up of
engine units for dealing with the expected power shortages. In
addition to this we saw dramatic reductions in lead times from Caterpillar which in some cases resulted in accelerated delivery As a result, equipment SA experienced a working capital increase in the six months to March but by September this outflow was significantly reduced. We are forecasting further working capital reductions in 2010. Our resolve to drive ahead the competitive advantage emanating from our skills development initiative continued in 2009. We believe that once the world economy recovers, the global skills shortage that we identified as a risk to our growth will continue. Our new Technical Training Centre in Isando was opened on 29 October 2009. This R120 million investment will form the focal point of all our future technical training and will generate the skills base for the upturn. In Iberia the slowdown that started in early 2008 evolved into a complete collapse of the Spanish construction and public works sectors in 2009. The Spanish economy is forecasting a 3.8% decline in GDP growth for 2009 and this economy is now only anticipated to return to positive growth in 2011. In the face of these adverse market conditions our focus in Spain has been on reducing costs, and this has unfortunately meant a significant reduction in our workforce. In addition to realigning the expense base, we have focused on generating positive cash flow from the Iberian operations. At March we reported positive cash flow of i51 million. This focus continued into the second half and by September, approximately i93 million cash had been generated. The Russian economy suffered from the impacts of reduced oil prices and lower demand for commodities. GDP is expected to decline by between 7% and 8.5% in 2009 but economists are forecasting a recovery of 2.5 – 3% in 2010. The Siberian business, which had shown a history of substantial growth since inception in 1998, was negatively impacted by these factors and revenue for the year declined by 40%. Significant reductions in activity levels were experienced in the construction, oil and gas and power segments. We believe that the Siberian market is showing early signs of recovery and this is evidenced by the increased level of tendering that we are currently experiencing. Siberia is a geography rich in natural resources and we continue to view this region as a significant future growth opportunity for the group. Automotive
Avis Rent a Car in southern Africa saw a slight decrease in revenue during the current year. The increase in rental rate per day was not sufficient to compensate for the 8% reduction in rental days. Profitability in the business was slightly up on the prior year due to improved fleet utilisation and strongly improved used vehicle profits. The reduction in the fleet size was a deliberate response to reduced activity levels and the group focus on cash flow. The fleet utilisation achieved as a consequence was well above industry norms. Avis Fleet Services achieved a steady increase in revenue and grew their fleet under finance by just over 3%. The prevailing economic conditions have generated substantial opportunities to grow this business. Profitability for the year was significantly above the prior year due to better margins and some additional profit recognition on maintenance contracts. The leasing business is a financing operation which requires substantial gearing to generate the return on equity that is commensurate with the risk. In the current climate, the impact of such gearing on our balance sheet is a constraining factor for growth notwithstanding the high returns earned. Motor retail in southern Africa performed remarkably well given the difficult economic and industry factors that prevailed. Revenue including the NMI/DSM operations for the full year was slightly down on the prior year; however operating profits were 62% up. Improved profitability was a result of improved business processes and synergies, expense reductions and a strong used vehicle profit contribution. We believe that our “Fewer, Bigger, Better” philosophy is paying dividends in the current trading environment. The Australian motor retail business generated revenue slightly up on the prior year, which would indicate an improved market share in a declining market. Profitability for the year was in line with the prior year following a vastly improved performance in the second half. At the end of last financial year we announced our intention to dispose of our car rental business in Scandinavia. Subsequent to that interested parties have commenced due diligence reviews of our operations. While we do not at this stage have a firm offer we remain confident that the process is advanced and that the disposal should be concluded within the next 12 months. We are extremely proud of what the automotive team has achieved in the current year and we remain confident that this division is well placed to excel when the economy turns. Handling Agriculture in South Africa experienced a slowdown in activity at the back end of the year as poor weather conditions and a stronger rand adversely impacted general sentiment in the farming sector. As a consequence, inventory levels are high, but should reduce to normalised levels by March 2010. Logistics The African logistics business performed satisfactorily in difficult
conditions. The focus on supply chain management would
appear to be generating success and during the year we
started up the Nike contract and have recently been awarded a
significant contract with a leading furniture distributor.
The Middle East and Asian operations suffered from reduced volumes of up to 30% which impacted profitability, however the integration and restructuring of the acquisition is proceeding to plan. We continue to make losses in Europe but plans are in place to improve this position into 2010. The logistics division exhibited good focus on asset management and despite adverse trading conditions managed to generate positive cash flow of just under R175 million. Cash flow and balance sheet
management The impact of the financial crisis on the banking and debt capital markets also consumed a great deal of management time and energy. The group focused on securing new long-term funding and terming out existing short-term facilities to extend the debt maturity profile through the crisis period. In September 2008 as part of the BBBEE transaction the group raised seven year bank funding of R1 207 million. In October 2008 the group raised a further R750 million through the issue of a seven year corporate bond in the South African debt capital market and in December 2008 the group signed a five year R700 million banking facility with one of the large local banks. The South African debt represents 83% of the group’s total borrowings and for that reason most of the emphasis was placed on securing committed banking lines in the local market. While the group increased the size of its commercial paper programme to R3.5 billion, we have consistently only utilised approximately R2 billion. Although margin spreads increased during the year, we did not have any difficulty in successfully rolling our paper in this market. We further ensured that a significant element of our overnight bank funding facilities is committed for at least 365 days to ensure liquidity in the event of unforeseen problems in the commercial paper market. At financial year end, due to our strong local cash position, the group was not utilising our overnight committed facilities. With regard to offshore debt we identified the need to renew
the £120 million syndicated facility in Barloworld Holdings PLC
which had a maturity date of July 2010. In the prevailing market
we believed it prudent to accelerate the renewal of this facility. In summary, the steps taken resulted in strong positive cash flows, reduced absolute debt levels and lengthened the maturity profile of our borrowings. This ensured that we maintained a strong balance sheet through the crisis and that we are well positioned to take advantage of growth opportunities as the external environment improves. BEE and transformation Each aspect of the BBBEE scorecard is being focused on
with targets set by business units for all elements of the
scorecard including skills development and employment equity.
Achievement against targets forms part of divisional CEO
scorecards and we have set our next objective for all SA divisions
to achieve at least a Level 3 BEE rating by 2011. We continue to adapt and refine our reporting systems for sustainability data and are allocating additional resources to managing and improving performance against sustainable development objectives. We are convinced that our competitive position will be enhanced as we proactively manage the environmental impact of our commercial activities, provide environmentally sensitive customer solutions and align with our principals’ sustainable development strategies and objectives. We have identified a number of sustainability-related business
opportunities allied to our existing core businesses, from power
systems to logistics, and have initiated strategic projects to
actively research and pursue these.
Executive leadership The executive has moulded into a cohesive team focused on the key Strategic Focus Areas for the group. We have a good combination of experience and new blood which bodes well for the future. I believe that the executive has shown strong leadership in the wake of the economic crisis and has responded quickly and decisively to the challenges experienced. The team is committed to delivering on our goals for 2010 and beyond and I would like to thank them and their respective management and employees for their commitment and resilience in the current year. Outlook The South African economy has shown growth of 0.9% in the third quarter after three consecutive quarters of contraction. While the expectation is that GDP will shrink by 2% in 2009, it would appear that the recession has bottomed. The South African Reserve Bank has cut interest rates by 500 bps since December 2008 and rates are currently back to levels last seen in June 2006. The South African consumer however remains relatively indebted and the decline in rates has yet to translate into increased consumer demand. The recovery in world economic growth should result in an increase in the demand for commodities, while the prevailing low interest rate environment should favourably impact new mining projects. Nevertheless our mining order book going into 2010 is considerably lower than a year ago. The South African economy will remain under pressure into the new year with the strong rand hampering the recovery. While public infrastructure projects ahead of the World Cup will underpin demand, we nonetheless expect the construction market in South Africa to remain slow. In Iberia the construction sector will continue to be under pressure as the oversupply situation prevails in the residential market. The current expectation that the Spanish budget deficit will worsen to close to 12% of GDP in 2010 means that the government is unlikely to be able to fund increased spending on major public work projects. The recession in Spain has been particularly harsh and current
unemployment levels are approaching 19%. Spain is only forecast to exit the recession in late 2010 and we are therefore forecasting
limited recovery in the coming year.
Our automotive business remains well positioned to benefit from the improvement in consumer confidence that we expect in 2010. The decline in new vehicle sales would appear to have bottomed and will further improve as consumer confidence returns and banks soften their credit extension policies. The car rental business is likely to be difficult in the first half but should see a strong improvement in the second half with the build up to the World Cup tournament. The fleet services business will benefit from increased demand as fleet operators continue to outsource both financing and management of their fleets. The handling operations in the USA and Europe should show some improvement in trading as the economic recovery gains traction. Handling in South Africa was impacted later in the cycle and we therefore expect the recovery to be later in 2010. Our logistics business should benefit as new supply chain projects come to fruition in the new year. We anticipate organic growth in our African operations while the Middle East and Asian operations should benefit from the forecast improvement in world trade. The focus on cash flow and inventory levels in particular has resulted in reduced debt levels while cost reduction initiatives undertaken will ensure that any upturn in economic activity will translate into improved profitability. While we anticipate that 2010 will be another challenging year,
sentiment has improved, and we believe that the company is
well placed to capitalise on the expected upturn when it occurs. |


